How it's worked out
One-time costs are paid before your first month ("month 0"), so your cash starts that far below zero.
Monthly burn = the sum of your monthly fixed costs, including your own pay.
Revenue in month m = month-1 revenue × (1 + growth %)m − 1. Gross profit = revenue × gross margin %. Net cash for the month = gross profit − monthly burn.
Cumulative cash = −one-time costs + the running total of net cash. The deepest point it reaches is the minimum cash needed: start with less and you run out. Cash to start with = minimum cash needed × (1 + your buffer %).
Worked example
With the example numbers above (all placeholders, not typical costs):
- One-time costs: $15,000 + $8,000 + $5,000 + $1,500 + $1,500 + $500 + $1,500 + $1,000 + $1,000 = $35,000.
- Monthly burn: $700 + $600 + $250 + $150 + $1,500 + $4,000 + $600 + $300 = $8,100 a month.
- Month 1: $8,000 revenue × 50% = $4,000 gross profit, so net cash is $4,000 − $8,100 = −$4,100.
- Turning positive: growing 10% a month, gross profit first beats $8,100 in month 9 (about $8,574).
- Lowest point: the end of month 8, about $54,056 below zero. With a 25% buffer, plan on about $67,571 to start.
- Payback: at month 12 you are still about $46,663 behind, so you do not earn back what you put in within the first year.
Things this leaves out
- Seasons. HVAC demand swings with the weather. A smooth growth % hides slow months. Run a cautious version with low growth, and use the slow-season calculator below.
- Getting paid late. This treats revenue as cash in the month you bill it. Customers and warranty claims that pay later push your low point deeper.
- Taxes and loan principal. Income and self-employment taxes, and any loan repayment beyond the payments you entered, are not included.
- Hiring. Fixed costs stay flat for 12 months. Your first hire changes the picture; use the hire another tech calculator when you get there.
We don't quote a "typical" cost to start an HVAC business, because we haven't found a solid public source for one. It depends on your state, your truck, and your insurance quotes. Price each line with real local quotes. Owners compare real numbers in the anonymous Owner Numbers survey.
Related tools and guides
For the full tech-to-owner playbook, read How to Start an HVAC Business: Tech-to-Owner Playbook (2026). Once you're open, the HVAC slow-season cash reserve calculator works out how much to save for the slow months. To set a labor rate that covers the monthly burn above, use the HVAC break-even hourly rate calculator, and to price out the truck itself, try the HVAC service truck cost calculator.